Introduction In 1944, Lewis Fry Richardson reported that the number of wars that began (or ended) each year closely resembled a Poisson distribution. From this, Richardson speculated that there was a ‘persistent background of probability’ for the start and end of wars.
Measuring the Rate of War Outbreaks
Measuring the Rate of War Outbreaks
Measuring the Rate of War Outbreaks
Introduction In 1944, Lewis Fry Richardson reported that the number of wars that began (or ended) each year closely resembled a Poisson distribution. From this, Richardson speculated that there was a ‘persistent background of probability’ for the start and end of wars.